Having actively collected Seiko 7A38's for over 10 years, all the while monitoring their prices, I can certainly attest that they've increased significantly, particularly over the last 5 years, as interest spreads to more collectors. Much depends on the model and its perceived desirability. Prices for some have doubled, others tripled or quadrupled - even worse. One such is the relatively common stainless 7A38-7020 SAA009J and its US export equivalent the 7A38-7029 SAA013J. Unfortunately on the old forum, I never got around to creating a 7A38-xxxx model specific thread for this enduringly popular variant. It's a pity, because it would have made interesting (if nostalgic) reading at today's price levels.
I suspect the growing fervour is partly due to the 'Royal Oak' moniker that the watch has acquired. A nickname (and a complete misnomer) which I believe emanated from the SCWF, as so many do. The increased prices being asked of late are principally due to speculators and greedy profiteering eBay re-sellers, like Simone, Giuseppe, hattori_cy and lately quartzwerk, who buy low with the deliberate intention of reselling to mug punters at vastly inflated Buy-it-Now prices.
What prompted me to start this topic was this post made on Instagram yesterday by one ewandalton.
Note in the latter part of his caption, the poster bemoaned: Pity it cost me 3x what I sold the last one for...
In case you didn't recognise the name, Ewan is a regular contributor to both SCWF and OmegaForums, where he posts as ewand. He was also a member of our old forum and, referring to his previous 7A38-7029, seeking advice on its bracelet, started this thread in the Tech Tips section, back in November 2017:
Ewan also contributes to vintagewatchadvisors.com where he has written about a friend's 7A38-7029 in this blog article.
From the other photos in his Instagram post, it's not difficult to figure out where Ewan bought his latest 7A38-7029. It was a 7-day UK eBay auction, by a seller from Northern Ireland, with an opening bid price of £120, which ended on 8th February, selling for a hefty £455 after 20 bids.
https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/Seiko-7a38-C ... 5036458759
If you check the eBay bidding history, in order to win the action, it would appear that Ewan was prepared to pay even more for that 7A38-7029 than he actually did. He placed a second, presumably higher snipe bid in the closing seconds.
I'm fortunate that my collection includes half a dozen stainless 7A38-7020's and 7A38-7029's, the majority of which are in close to mint condition. Thankfully, I purchased most of them years ago, when prices were much lower. Checking my records, the last 7A38-7029 that I bought (as a complete watch, as opposed to a salesman's sample case) came off eBay in the States in July 2019 for $299 as a Buy-it-Now. The most I've ever paid in an auction for either variant, was in May 2018 - an almost mint 7A38-7020, still with the case-back protection largely intact, for 226 Euros off eBay Germany. I documented it the Show and Tell - your newest incoming 7Axx thread at the time.
So I really didn't need another, particularly as this example appeared to be in no better than average worn condition. But it was in the UK, meaning no 20% VAT, so I thought I'd take a punt. In fact, I placed the opening bid - £123.45. The highest bid I placed was £155.67 (shown at the bottom of the screen print), at which point I thought 'Nah'. Enough is enough, especially when it later started heading towards £200. My final bid was approximately a third of the price Ewan bid to eventually win it. This was a no reserve auction - not some greedy profiteering eBay re-seller, demanding a ridiculously marked-up Buy-it-Now price. In some respects, Gentlemen, you only have yourselves to blame.